The analysis of Alibaba Group's future stock price trends and overall status based on the Random Forest mode
Abstract
With the rapid development of technology and the ever-changing global landscape, technologies such as cloud computing, artificial intelligence, big data, and blockchain are being widely adopted. E-commerce is rising rapidly, and in today's era, Alibaba Group's overall development trend has gradually heated up after the "1+6+N" business model reform. For investors, stock trend prediction is an important task, but predicting stock price movements is challenging due to the influence of various factors. The Random Forest model is an important technology in the field of artificial intelligence, with significant effectiveness in simulating the specific characteristics of research objects, handling nonlinear problems, and studying non-stationary data. This paper aims to predict Alibaba Group's future development prospects and stock price fluctuations after a series of reforms by constructing a Random Forest model. A multivariate linear regression model is used for numerical analysis, while the model's predictions are systematically scored under the MAE, MSE, MAPE, and RMSE indicators. The accuracy of the Random Forest model in predicting Alibaba Group's future stock price trends is as high as 82.97%.
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