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The analysis of Alibaba Group's future stock price trends and overall status based on the Random Forest mode

by Qiushuang Wang 1
1
School of Finance, JiLin University of Finance and Economics, Changchun City, Jilin Province
*
Author to whom correspondence should be addressed.
Received: / Accepted: / Published Online: 17 March 2025

Abstract

With the rapid development of technology and the ever-changing global landscape, technologies such as cloud computing, artificial intelligence, big data, and blockchain are being widely adopted. E-commerce is rising rapidly, and in today's era, Alibaba Group's overall development trend has gradually heated up after the "1+6+N" business model reform. For investors, stock trend prediction is an important task, but predicting stock price movements is challenging due to the influence of various factors. The Random Forest model is an important technology in the field of artificial intelligence, with significant effectiveness in simulating the specific characteristics of research objects, handling nonlinear problems, and studying non-stationary data. This paper aims to predict Alibaba Group's future development prospects and stock price fluctuations after a series of reforms by constructing a Random Forest model. A multivariate linear regression model is used for numerical analysis, while the model's predictions are systematically scored under the MAE, MSE, MAPE, and RMSE indicators. The accuracy of the Random Forest model in predicting Alibaba Group's future stock price trends is as high as 82.97%.

 

 


Copyright: © 2025 by Wang. This is an open-access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License (CC BY) (Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License). The use, distribution or reproduction in other forums is permitted, provided the original author(s) or licensor are credited and that the original publication in this journal is cited, in accordance with accepted academic practice. No use, distribution or reproduction is permitted which does not comply with these terms.

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ACS Style
Wang, Q. The analysis of Alibaba Group's future stock price trends and overall status based on the Random Forest mode. Journal of Globe Scientific Reports, 2025, 7, 141. doi:10.69610/j.gsr.2025031701
AMA Style
Wang Q. The analysis of Alibaba Group's future stock price trends and overall status based on the Random Forest mode. Journal of Globe Scientific Reports; 2025, 7(2):141. doi:10.69610/j.gsr.2025031701
Chicago/Turabian Style
Wang, Qiushuang 2025. "The analysis of Alibaba Group's future stock price trends and overall status based on the Random Forest mode" Journal of Globe Scientific Reports 7, no.2:141. doi:10.69610/j.gsr.2025031701

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